So far a good results season for the sector: benign weather and better rating envoronment helped, but best performance came from skilled underwriting and good claims management
Hardy: good performance and track record throughout the cycle, so undervalued at 5.1x PFER
Chaucer: a recent change of the management team but too large a discount at only 4.7x PFER
improving outlook for catastrophe and reinsurance market
Lloyd's well placed to benefit
some leading insurers now likely to try and increase capacity for 2009
The beginning of September and the second hurricane of the year hits a major US city (or two in this case).
Hurricane Gustav is expected to hit or pass close by New Orleans
Reinsurance rates should rise as a result of the 2nd major hurricane in 3 years
Overall future profit for the majority of Lloyd’s insurers should benefit from higher reinsurance rates
Sector still cheap
Keep focus on quality players